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Pricing Options: Time

How the passage of time affects option prices

Theta's Got Moves

Unsurprisingly, theta is not a static number. It lives and breathes as market conditions change. Anything that affects the perception of risk can also affect an option's rate of decay.
the number of days to expiration (DTE), and
are three particularly important factors that contribute to theta decay rates.

Theta & Moneyness

options carry the most uncertainty and, as a result, generally have the highest theta levels. As an option moves farther
or deeper
theta rates will typically decrease. This is because options at the outer bounds of the expected move have greater certainty regarding their moneyness at expiration.
Figure 7

Theta & Days to Expiration

As expiration draws near, theta rates will accelerate. Extrinsic value will decay at increasingly faster rates as an option gets closer to expiration. Some traders try to take advantage of this rapid decay by selling options very close to expiration. The risk of doing this is that options also become far more sensitive to changes in share price near expiration. This can result in wild swings in daily

Theta & Expected Move

With a greater expected move comes greater risk and greater theta levels. As we learned in a previous article,
is primarily derived from three driving forces: DTE,
and share price. As implied volatility increases, so too can an option's theta levels. In addition, trading higher priced
will also typically result in higher theta levels.

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